Kent State — 2026 schedule & results record 3-5 · model's picks 7-1 so far
Proj rating -13.6 · SOS -4.2 · Mean wins 3.8 · Picked 2-10 · Vegas 3.5
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Line / ATS | Model | Win prob | Pick | My bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sat 09/05 | South Carolina | away | L 0–57 | +36 ✗ | -25.0 | 6% | L ✓ | |
| 2 | Sat 09/12 | Wofford | home | W 36–15 | -10.5 ✓ | +17.5 | 85% | W ✓ | |
| 3 | Sat 09/19 | Ohio State | away | L 3–59 | +52.25 ✗ | -41.6 | 1% | L ✓ | |
| 4 | Sat 09/26 | Ball State | home | W 26–13 | -2.5 ✓ | +7.5 | 67% | W ✓ | |
| 5 | Sat 10/03 | Ohio | home | L 10–13 | +3.5 ✓ | -6.5 | 35% | L ✓ |
Ohio -5.5 · LOSS -30 |
| 6 | Sat 10/10 | Western Michigan | away | L 7–38 | +13.75 ✗ | -16.3 | 17% | L ✓ |
Western Michigan -14 · WIN +30 |
| 7 | Sat 10/17 | South Florida | away | L 2–29 | +20.5 ✗ | -19.1 | 14% | L ✓ |
South Florida -20 · WIN +26 |
| 8 | Sat 10/24 | Akron | home | W 35–20 | -3 ✓ | -2.5 | 45% | L ✗ | |
| 9 | Fri 10/30 | Sacramento State | away | — | -10 | — | — | — | |
| 11 | Tue 11/10 | Bowling Green | away | — | — | -3.8 | 42% | L | |
| 12 | Tue 11/17 | Miami (OH) | home | — | — | -6.1 | 37% | L | |
| 13 | Tue 11/24 | Eastern Michigan | away | — | — | -7.5 | 34% | L |
Picked counts every game the model favors as a win. Mean wins is the average over 10,000 simulated seasons — a team favored 60/40 in five games wins about three of them, not five, which is why Picked runs higher than Mean wins for good teams (and lower for bad ones). Compare Mean wins to Vegas; use this page to see where the wins come from.